CLIMATE ACTION IS AFFORDABLE

Environmental Panorama
International
November of 2007

 

06 November 2007 – Speech - SPEECH BY MARTHINUS VAN SCHALKWYK, MINISTER OF ENVIRONMENTAL AFFAIRS AND TOURISM, AT THE CAPE TIMES ENVIRONMENTAL AWARDS, 6 NOVEMBER 2007

Thank you for the opportunity to address you at this prestigious event. The Cape Times Environmental Awards ceremony has become a marker in our diaries. It makes a significant contribution, not only by recognizing outstanding contributions to conserving our environment for future generations, but also by raising awareness in a field that has historically been under-appreciated, but is day by day moving up on the national and international agenda.

It is daunting to consider the range of threats facing the environment on which we depend. Daunting, but not overwhelming, if we are able to draw on expertise available, common sense, and flexibility, as we consider solutions. Tonight we are gathering in a region of the country where we are acutely aware of our vulnerability to the impacts of climate change. The current and projected impacts on agriculture, biodiversity, water resources and fisheries, to name but a few, are becoming increasingly well known..

In two weeks time the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the IPCC, will finalize the overall synthesis of its Fourth Assessment Report, and in four weeks time we hope to achieve a breakthrough in climate negotiations when 10 000 delegates from more than 180 countries meet in Bali for the critical next round of talks under the UNFCCC and its Kyoto Protocol.

The rigorous scientific evaluations of the IPCC have already confirmed that climate change is part of our changing reality and that it is almost without doubt caused by human activities. The impacts and risks of climate change are more imminent and severe than previously thought – a message from the IPCC which has been confirmed by new science ever since their scientific reports were finalized about a year ago. Thus we have heard that greenhouse gas emissions are growing rapidly, they are currently above even the highest IPCC projections, and they will continue to grow unless we decisively change course. If we do not tackle the root causes of the problem – that is increasing emissions - a time will come when we will no longer be able to adapt our way out of the problem. That is the bad news.

The good news from the IPCC is that we have the tools to address the problem in a way that will both reduce some impacts, and avoid others that may be more extreme. But then we must choose to act. A broad portfolio of technologies and policies does exist and can be applied at a cost that is affordable. Failing to adopt these win-win technologies and approaches is simply inexcusable, but it is the role of strong leadership in government and business to facilitate this process.

With the scientific and economic cases so clear, it is now up to policy-makers world-wide to respond. Together, we must address the huge disjuncture between the pace of negotiations and the urgency of action required by science.

Fortunately, over the past year and more, the climate change issue has moved to the top of the international agenda. Climate change has been elevated to the Heads of State level in the United Nations General Assembly and at the G8 Summit. The UN Secretary General has drawn the climate change issue into his personal sphere of diplomacy, it was introduced in the UN Security Council earlier this year and it is now also on the agenda of G20 Finance Ministers.

This high level political activity gives new momentum to the process of negotiating a more effective and inclusive multilateral framework for climate change.

I recall merely two years ago, when I referred in a speech at our National Climate Change Conference in Midrand, to the implications of the decline of sea ice in the Arctic, how many delegates frowned and chuckled. Today hardly a week goes by without new reports on threatening disputes between the USA and Canada over parts of the North-West Passage and the fossil fuel deposits hitherto covered by ice, or about Russia staking its claim to the North Pole, or about the new aspirations of Denmark and Norway. The link between climate stability and geopolitical stability is becoming ever more clear,as the global battle over these valuable trade routes and unextracted oil and gas reserves, reported to represent about a quarter of the world’s undiscovered reserves, will continue to be a key driver of geopolitics in that region, and beyond. Ships traveling between Copenhagen and Yokohama could in future cut their traveling distance in half if they go along the north Siberian coast rather than through the Suez Canal. The effects on shipping will be felt all the way down to our own harbours here in South Africa.reported to represent about a quarter of the world’s undiscovered reserves, will continue to be a key driver of geopolitics in that region, and beyond. Ships traveling between Copenhagen and Yokohama could in future cut their traveling distance in half if they go along the north Siberian coast rather than through the Suez Canal. The effects on shipping will be felt all the way down to our own harbours here in South Africa.reported to represent about a quarter of the world’s undiscovered reserves, will continue to be a key driver of geopolitics in that region, and beyond. Ships traveling between Copenhagen and Yokohama could in future cut their traveling distance in half if they go along the north Siberian coast rather than through the Suez Canal. The effects on shipping will be felt all the way down to our own harbours here in South Africa.Ships traveling between Copenhagen and Yokohama could in future cut their traveling distance in half if they go along the north Siberian coast rather than through the Suez Canal. The effects on shipping will be felt all the way down to our own harbours here in South Africa.Ships traveling between Copenhagen and Yokohama could in future cut their traveling distance in half if they go along the north Siberian coast rather than through the Suez Canal. The effects on shipping will be felt all the way down to our own harbours here in South Africa.

Programme Director, in South Africa the climate change issue has also moved to the top of our agenda. Three to four years ago it was hardly on the radar screen. When we received one of our first briefings on the latest science and it implications in Cabinet three years ago, it was met with a sense of disbelief. Today it is a key priority. It is a key issue for a range of Departments who are actively working on their sectoral response strategies and who are integrating it with their day-to-day decision-making.

In March 2006 Cabinet commissioned a process to examine the options available to mitigate our greenhouse gas emissions. The aim of the Long Term Mitigation Scenario (LTMS) study is to contribute to setting the pathway for long-term climate policy for the country. Ultimately this groundbreaking work – which is now in its final stretch – together with our work on sectoral strategies, the Greenhouse Gas Inventory, our National Communications to the UN and adaptation planning, will inform our deliberations towards a legislative and policy package which will give effect to our policy at a mandatory level.

This domestic process of policy making will also closely interact with the international negotiations over the next two years. We are likely to decide in December this year in Bali – and that is our mandate from Cabinet - to accelerate negotiations with a view to agreeing a strengthened framework for climate protection by 2009, at the latest.

Under the Kyoto Protocol, carbon constraints, or caps, have thus far only been placed on industrialized, or so-called Annex I countries. South Africa, together with the developing or so-called non-Annex I nations of the world, has been exempt from taking mandatory action to reduce our high level of relative emissions. South Africa has a commitment to mitigate emissions within our means under the Convention, but there is no legally binding, quantified target. The current regime allows South Africa along with others such as Brazil, China and India to continue to grow without a cap on emissions.

However, increasingly, developing countries like ourselves will be expected, and should be expected, to take our fair share of responsibility and demonstrate our plans to contribute to the global response, albeit in a differentiated way that recognizes our growth imperative and our small contribution thus far to the current crisis. The concession to non-Annex I nations has seemingly prevented the biggest emitter on the world stage, the USA, from agreeing to targets. This deadlock must be broken, and thus it can be expected that we will have greater responsibilities, but still of a different kind than developed countries, after 2012.

In moving forward we will face some tough decisions in South Africa. Continuing to grow without a carbon constraint will not be sustainable over the long term. It would also be a high-risk approach in the face of rising oil prices and the threat that carbon constraints could be introduced in international trade.

A massive effort by South Africa to achieve emissions reductions and “de-carbonize” growth would therefore be required. Given that the energy sector is the single largest source of emissions in South Africa, interventions will have to be aimed in the short term at improving energy efficiency, and over the longer haul diversifying energy sources away from coal, promoting energy security and also research and development of new technologies that will lead to a cleaner, low carbon energy future.

Key to success will be strong, committed and engaged South African leadership in government, business and civil society, coupled with international support. I can assure you tonight that the political will is there and that South Africa will not stand back in the face of these challenges. The world is changing, and we will respond to these new challenges.

Programme Director, the negotiations in Bali in December will be a key point in the increasingly urgent task facing us. If we want to reach agreement by the end of 2009 on a strengthened climate regime, we must agree to a Bali Roadmap for negotiations for the next 2 years.

Looking to the future, the message from a developing country perspective is clear: We take our responsibilities seriously. We are already making a meaningful contribution within our respective capabilities. We are willing to do more. But the trigger to strengthen the regime must come from the North. It is a two-part trigger: firstly, the full participation by the world’s largest historical and current emitter, the United States, is a requirement; and secondly, a more empowering technology and financing framework for adaptation and mitigation is a precondition.

The full engagement of the US in the multilateral process and binding emission reductions is not negotiable. The ‘road to nowhere’ approach of the current Administration in the US remains disappointing, to say the least. Yes, the US has signaled some flexibility, and we are constructively participating in engagements such as the US-initiated Major Economies dialogue. But we need much greater leadership and immediate action from the US. The US has risen before to seemingly impossible challenges and succeeded even beyond their own dreams. The successes of the US in the hostile reaches of space are legendary – surely success in ensuring a sustainable future on a supportive earth is well within their grasp?

Programme Director, in conclusion, achieving climate stability in an equitable way requires individual nations to rise above short term self-interest for the benefit of the long term common good. In South Africa we have demonstrated that this is possible for the good of a nation. And though, when it comes to climate change, we have responsibilities and constraints unique to South Africa, we all have a common responsibility to act in accordance with our national capabilities. South Africa realises that we must all act with a greater sense of urgency. For our part, we stand ready to take on our fair share of responsibility.
Riaan Aucamp (Minister's Spokesperson)

 
 

Source: South African Environmental (http://www.environment.gov.za)
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