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BLACK CARBON: BETTER MONITORING NEEDED TO ASSESS HEALTH AND CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS

Environmental Panorama
International
December of 2013


Published 10 Dec 2013 Last modified 10 Dec 2013, 09:46 AM
Black carbon is an air pollutant which harms human health and can contribute to climate change – so cutting emissions may have many benefits. The European Environment Agency (EEA) has published a report on the measurement of black carbon in the air.

The EEA report, ‘Status of black carbon monitoring in ambient air in Europe’, looks at the monitoring networks currently measuring black carbon, measurement methodologies and how this data is used.

As the effects of this pollutant have become better understood in recent years, it is increasingly seen as an important target of environmental control. Authors of the EEA report hope that the study will encourage more comprehensive monitoring of this pollutant, which is currently patchy.

Health and climate effects

Black carbon is the sooty part of particulate matter (PM) formed by the incomplete combustion of fossil fuels and biomass. It is mostly emitted by vehicles, non-road mobile machinery such as forestry machines, ships, coal or wood burning stoves in homes. Another important source is open biomass burning including forest fires and agricultural waste burning.

Of all air pollutants, PM is the most harmful to health in Europe. The black carbon part of PM is particularly harmful as it represents a mixture of very fine, partly carcinogenic particles, small enough to enter the bloodstream and reach other organs.

There is currently a lively debate about whether reducing this pollutant could have significant gains in reducing climate change, with a recent study suggesting that black carbon’s effect on the climate is more potent than previously thought. In the atmosphere the carbon-containing pollutant effectively absorbs solar radiation leading to a warming of the atmosphere. When it settles on snow or ice, the darker colour absorbs more heat, accelerating melting.

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Global megatrends shaping Europe's environment

Published 06 Dec 2013 Last modified 06 Dec 2013, 10:56 AM
Surging economic growth in many emerging economies is increasing global competition for resources and the burden on natural systems. The European Environment Agency (EEA) is analysing these changes and their implications for Europe’s environment in an updated assessment of 'global megatrends'.

Today the EEA has published two new chapters of its revised 'Assessment of global megatrends', following two published this year.

Global economic growth is projected to continue in coming decades, according to 'Continued economic growth?'. Emerging Asian economies are expected to play an ever larger role, with India and China together accounting for almost half of global output in 2050. The environmental and political implications of these changes will be significant.

As described in 'From a unipolar to a multipolar world', markets are becoming ever more integrated. Partly as a result of these changes, the global middle class population (associated with high per capita consumption levels) is expected to grow very rapidly — from 27 % of 6.8 billion people today to almost 60 % of 8.4 billion people in 2030.

The trends are likely to augment unprecedented levels of resource extraction, according to 'Intensified global competition for resources'. This has implications for Europe, which is heavily reliant on the imports of many materials, including more than half of its supply of metal ores, metal products, and fossil energy. Commodity prices more than doubled in real terms between 2000 and 2012, suggesting global resource demand is outpacing supply. Future projections are uncertain, however.

Energy may be in particularly high demand in coming decades. For example, South Korea's per capita oil consumption increased more than 25-fold as it rapidly transformed into an advanced economy in the last half century. If Brazil, China, India and Indonesia were to replicate this pattern of development with their much larger populations, global energy demand would be dramatically affected, the assessment says. However, it does point to some positive trends in some advanced economies, where GDP has continued to increase while energy demand has stabilised, albeit at high levels.

Many new technologies require critical raw materials – for example wind turbines, photovoltaic cells and electric car batteries all require some of the 14 raw materials listed as critical by the European Commission. Reserves of such materials are often concentrated in a few countries, the assessment says, increasing the uncertainty of future supplies and potentially constraining Europe's transition to a low carbon economy.

Pressures on ecosystems are also likely to intensify over the coming years – something explored in 'Growing demands on ecosystems'. For example, increasing wealth and growing populations are likely to boost meat demand, which is likely to intensify global competition for scarce land resources. This is reflected in a dramatically increasing number of large-scale transnational acquisitions of land during recent years, mostly in developing countries. Bioenergy production is also set to grow over the coming years. Both trends may mean forests and other habitats are converted to farmland.

Climate change is putting pressure on ecosystems, the assessment notes. There is a risk that thresholds may be passed, leading to systemic change. For example, rising temperatures could cause the Amazon basin to dry out, eventually causing the forest to die back to a savannah-like habitat.

Nonetheless, the assessments present several positive opportunities for the future. Although Europe's global influence may be shrinking in some areas, increasing integration means that environmental policies pioneered in the EU may also be taken up worldwide, the assessment says, citing the example of EU vehicle emissions standards which have been rapidly adopted in many Asian countries.

Background

Today's updates, addressing increasing global demand for resources, follow the publication in September of two chapters addressing global economic growth. A further seven chapters will be published in coming months.

The European environment's status, trends and prospects have always depended in part on events outside its borders. Moreover, the growing importance of global networks and flows has augmented this interdependence. The 11 global megatrends assessments will cover topics within the areas of society, environment, technology, economy, and governance.

In 2014 the chapters will be consolidated into a single EEA report and will provide the basis for the analysis of megatrends included in the EEA's next assessment of the European environment's state and outlook, 'SOER 2015'. The SOER is published every five years.

Source: European Environment Agency
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